NEW HAMPSHIRE’S PRIMARIES
Overview
Democrats
Hillary Rodham Clinton leads Barack Obama, her closest opponent, by a wide margin in most polls in the state but her advisers have said that they view independent voters as the single biggest obstacle to victory. Independent voters, or undeclared voters as they are called here, make up 45 percent of the electorate. Aides to Mr. Obama, pointing to the ideological and demographic makeup of these voters and the maverick candidates to which they have historically been drawn, are looking to them to offset Mrs. Clinton’s strength among registered Democrats.
Recent Polling
Democrats
Clinton |
43% |
Obama |
22% |
Edwards |
14% |
Don't know |
8% |
Richardson |
6% |
Kucinich |
3% |
Biden |
2% |
Other |
2% |
Dodd |
1% |
Conducted between October 15, 2007 and October 21, 2007 by New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College with 613 likely Democratic primary voters and a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Details of the Nominating Process
Democrats
December 15, 2007
Caucus (Open)
30 delegates at stake
District-level delegates and alternates are elected by caucus on Dec. 15 (subject to change) followed by a primary on Jan. 22 (subject to change). Convention delegates selected at the district level are allocated in proportion to the percentage of the primary vote won by that presidential candidate in that district. Each candidate who receives at least 15 percent of the primary vote will be awarded delegates.Based on the presidential primary, 12 delegates are allocated proportionally to presidential candidates.
Winners of Previous Nominating Contests
Democrats
2004 |
John Kerry |
2000 |
Al Gore |
1992 |
Paul E. Tsongas |
1988 |
Michael S. Dukakis |
1984 |
Gary Hart |
Source: Election 2008, The New York Times, November 11, 2007

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